Three significant luxury residential schemes are moving toward sales launch before the end of 2026, and together they represent the most concentrated burst of high-end supply the Hong Kong market has absorbed in nearly a decade. The projects — spanning the Upper Peak, the West Kowloon Cultural District waterfront, and the Stubbs Road corridor in Mid-Levels East — will collectively add roughly 480 units priced above HK$30 million each, according to figures compiled from Lands Registry filings and developer disclosures reviewed this week.
The timing is not accidental. Since the government scrapped the additional buyer's stamp duty for non-permanent residents in February 2024, overseas appetite has been rebuilding steadily. Agents at Centaline and Midland Realty both reported a measurable uptick in enquiries from mainland Chinese high-net-worth buyers and Southeast Asian investors through the first half of this year. The question hanging over the market is whether that demand is deep enough to absorb inventory at the upper end — and what the influx of prestige stock means for the established pockets it lands in.
Peak and Mid-Levels: Supply Hits Scarce Ground
On Gough Hill Road near the Peak, a joint venture between Henderson Land and a private family office is preparing to launch The Gough — 34 units across two low-rise blocks, with asking prices expected to start around HK$85,000 per square foot. That would put entry-level units above HK$50 million, positioning the project alongside Opus Hong Kong on Glenealy as one of the district's most aggressively priced addresses. Gough Hill Road has historically traded at a discount to Pollock's Path and Mount Austin, so the developer's pricing signals a deliberate bid to close that gap.
Down the hill, the Stubbs Road project from Empire Group — a 68-unit boutique tower set just above Happy Valley — is targeting buyers priced out of the Peak but unwilling to compromise on views. Gross floor areas run from 1,400 to 3,800 square feet, and agents familiar with the project say indicative pricing sits between HK$55,000 and HK$72,000 per square foot. For comparison, the median transaction price across the broader Mid-Levels district last quarter was approximately HK$38,000 per square foot, according to data from the Rating and Valuation Department's March 2026 report.
West Kowloon: The Wildcard
The most speculative of the three is the waterfront scheme adjacent to the M+ museum in the West Kowloon Cultural District. The 140-unit development, linked to a consortium that includes a unit of CITIC Pacific, would represent the first true luxury residential address in a precinct built largely around arts institutions and the high-speed rail terminus at West Kowloon Station. Asking prices are expected to benchmark against Cullinan West III nearby, which saw units change hands at between HK$22,000 and HK$28,000 per square foot in early 2026 — though the waterfront premium could push the new project's pricing considerably higher.
What makes the West Kowloon play interesting is its neighbourhood-formation story. The Cultural District has spent years building foot traffic through the M+ permanent collection and the Freespace arts venue. Residential prestige follows cultural cachet with a lag, and developers appear to be betting that lag has now closed. If the scheme sells well, it would establish West Kowloon as a genuine luxury address rather than an overflow option for buyers squeezed out of Kowloon Station's older towers.
Buyers considering any of these three projects should move quickly on due diligence. The stamp duty easing has a political shelf life — several pro-establishment legislators flagged concerns about overheating as recently as June — and a policy reversal before year-end cannot be ruled out. For foreign buyers specifically, locking in purchases while the current regime holds is a more straightforward calculation than it was eighteen months ago. Mortgage financing remains the constraint: the Hong Kong Monetary Authority's 50% loan-to-value cap on properties above HK$30 million means buyers need liquid capital of at least HK$25 million to enter even the lower end of this market.